Indian investors are a happy lot this week. Though tapering sword is still hanging over bullish investor sentiments, it seems investors have lot to rejoice over the coming days. Not just exit polls have sounded a victory for their favorite PM candidate, but it has also forced the govt. to increase the pace of their reforms as a last ditch effort to thwart the current anti-incumbency wave in the country. Govt. is back to its disinvestment ways to fill the deficit gap and is likely to make some reform announcements benefitting power and sugar industries.
Sensex gained 1.0%; Nifty gained 1.4% while CNX Midcap was up by 1.1% this week.
Monday – Sensex up by 0.5%, Nifty up by 0.7%, Midcap up by 0.7%
Markets cheered the 2QFY14 GDP growth of 4.8% vs. 4.4% in previous quarter, according to data released by govt. The growth numbers were in-line with street estimates. Also, HSBC PMI index recorded improvement in manufacturing activity for the first time since July. The Index for the manufacturing industry climbed to 51.3 in November from 49.6 in previous month.
Tuesday - Sensex down by 0.2%, Nifty down by 0.3%, Midcap flat
Markets ended up lower as investors resorted to profit booking and cautiousness ahead of Fed’s job report expected at the end of the week. Any improvement in the job recovery may lead to decision in favour of tapering of QE by Federal Reserve. Investors also stayed cautious as India’s capital, New Delhi prepares for polls next day. Even a good announcement from RBI was unable to lift the mood of the market. RBI announced that India’s current account deficit (CAD) narrowed sharply to $5.2bn or 1.2% of GDP in 2Q, from $21bn or 5% last year.
Wednesday – Sensex down by 0.7%, Nifty down by 0.7%, Midcap down by 1.0%
Market sentiments were weak as rise in crude prices added to inflationary concerns. Investors raised concerns that this may lead RBI to raise rates again raising the cost of doing business in the country.
Thursday – Sensex up by 1.2%, Nifty up by 1.3%, Midcap up by 0.8%
Markets went up and regained 21,000 levels as exit polls showed BJP coming to power in at least 4 out of 5 states that had elections recently. BJP is widely viewed as business friendly party among the host of other parties contesting the elections. Any success in state elections will be a testimony of BJP Prime Ministerial candidate Narendra Modi’s popularity and acceptance.
Friday – Sensex up by 0.2%, Nifty up by 0.3%, Midcap up by 0.5%
Exit polls results kept markets up and gave boost to the idea that congress might try to get more reform measures passed in the run up to the main elections in May 2014.
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