Weekly Market Commentary - Aug 18, 2014 - Aug 22, 2014

PM Narendra Modi’s maiden Independence Day speech did well to excite Indian citizens with prospects of wonderful days ahead and enthuse investors to pour money into the Indian markets.

One thing is for sure, India is no longer business as usual. Things are changing, albeit at a slower pace than some expected, but it is changing. More and more projects are been given green light – without losing the focus on environmental issues, societal changes have been signaled without ruffling the opposition’s feathers and efforts are been made to drastically cut down the red tape and make India one of the world’s favored business destination (WB ranks us at 134 out of 189 economies ranked).

Modi also send the last reminiscent of India’s attempt of mimicking Soviet’s command economy – Planning Commission packing. With Planning Commission gone, the focus turns back to decentralization of Indian economy with states getting even more financing powers and autonomy going forward.

Sensex ended this week up by 1.2% while Nifty was up by 1.6% and Midcap up by 3.6%

Monday - Sensex up by 1.1%, Nifty up by 1.1%, Midcap up by 1.7%
Investors cheered as PM Narendra Modi delivered his maiden Independence Day speech where he vowed to make radical changes in the way country is run especially the bureaucratic setup. The news of declining WPI to five- month low and easing of tensions over Ukraine also boosted the positive sentiment.

Tuesday - Sensex up by 0.1%, Nifty up by 0.3%, Midcap up by 1.0%
Both Sensex and Nifty continued their journey upwards as oil retailers surged after Brent hit its 14-month low. FII sentiment is buoyed by positive noises made by Modi govt. on reforms and strong trust on RBI governor Raghuram Rajan’s ability to tackle exchange rate crises and inflation. Falling crude prices have also added to the bullish sentiment as India’s import burden eased.

Wednesday - Sensex down by 0.4%, Nifty down by 0.3%, Midcap up by 0.3%
Benchmark indices corrected after rallying continuously for six days as investors booked profits ahead of scheduled US Fed meeting on Thursday.

Thursday - Sensex up by 0.2%, Nifty up by 0.2%, Midcap up by 0.4%
Both Sensex and Nifty edged higher as FIIs continued to pour money in Indian markets, especially in blue-chips reflecting continued optimism about corporate earnings and a recovery in the domestic economy. Slipping in crude oil prices as China reported slowdown in its huge factory sector also helped the sentiment.

Friday - Sensex up by 0.2%, Nifty up by 0.3%, Midcap up by 0.2%
Nifty closed at its all-time high of 7,913.20 points led by IT stocks - which rallied on the news of improving prospects of US economy, and banks rose as RBI looks into reviewing lending caps to align them with global standards set by Basel committee.