And Sensex does it again. Indian markets driven by huge expectations from the coming (hopefully) BJP govt got a major spurt when PM candidate Narendra Modi declared on prime time that his party will form the most stable and strong govt in Indian history after Rajiv Gandhi. You can watch the full interview here. Any party to get a clean majority needs to score atleast 272 seats in general elections. Many exit polls and election survey predicts that there are chances that BJP (or current form of NDA) will do better than that.
A stable and decisive govt at the centre will certainly raise hopes of Indian investors, as trillions of rupees worth of projects are gathering dust in various govt departments waiting for approvals. Any govt formation that will expedite project approvals, unshackle the invested capital and get new (or better) jobs for our aspiring citizens is certainly welcome by public and businesses alike.
Sensex ended this week up by 2.6% while Nifty was up by 2.4% and Midcap up by 1.6%
Monday - Sensex up by 0.2%, Nifty slightly up by 0.1%, Midcap flat
Markets recovered a little after continuously falling over past five sessions. Sentiment although remains bearish as regional shares falls on news that China's April PMI has contracted for fourth consecutive month.
Tuesday - Sensex up by 0.3%, Nifty up by 0.2%, Midcap up by 0.2%
Investors showed some confidence in Indian stocks as key benchmark indices rose to touch its week high. HSBC PMI index showed some improvement (48.5 in Apr vs. 47.5 in Mar) but still languished below 50 mark indicating contraction, not growth, keeping hopes of expansion in hiring activities at bay.
Wednesday - Sensex down by 0.8%, Nifty down by 0.9%, Midcap down by 0.2%
Sensex and Nifty plunged due to heavy selling in IT counters amid weak global cues and rupee hitting a month high against US dollar. Investors are keeping an eye on US Fed testimony in congress related to continuous decline in value of USD while continuously hoping that tensions in Ukraine do not escalate into a full-fledged war.
Thursday - Sensex up by 0.1%, Nifty up by 0.1%, Midcap down by 0.2%
Investors continued to stay cautious as Indian general elections entered its last phase. BSE Sensex and Nifty recovered slightly from their recent lows as investors picked up some of the battered stocks. Indian market also got some sentiment uplift from dovish comments by US Fed Chair and upbeat Chinese trade data that suggested some signs of recovery in the world's second-largest economy.
Friday - Sensex up by 2.9%, Nifty up by 3.0%, Midcap up by 1.9%
Sensex and Nifty surprised all watchers as indices soared to touch their all time highs amidst weak trading sentiment ahead of election results. BJP’s PM candidate Narendra Modi’s interview previous night – where he declared that his party is getting clear majority probably lifted the mood of investors. Investors bought stocks in droves as country nears the closing of more bitterly contested general elections in its history on Monday.
Sunday, May 11, 2014
Monday, May 5, 2014
Weekly Market Commentary - Apr 28, 2014 - May 2, 2014
This one should be a quick one. Electricity woes made a big comeback in Ghaziabad. And we had two days of trying to conserve as much (power) we can – by stressing our invertor as little as possible. So, I had to delay my writing of this commentary and now I am doing it from my office so I should make this one quick.
All eyes are on results of general election to be announced on May 16. Market in short term will continue to be swayed by earnings results, inflation and other official economic stats released by govt – unless ofcourse Ukraine crisis turn into a major one. US has already put its economic (powerhouse) machine in motion – building pressure on Russia by way of sanctions. Let’s hope it does not escalate into something bigger and dangerous.
Sensex and Nifty ended this week down by 1.3% while Midcap was down by 0.8%
Monday - Sensex slightly down by 0.2%, Nifty down by 0.3%, Midcap up by 0.7%
Cautious sentiment prevailed in the market as ongoing results season till date has shown increase in topline growth but decline in operating margins. Add to the mix the uncertainty of election outcome and you get a heady cocktail of increasing volatility. Investors also remained wary ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve's two-day meet starting Tuesday, coming at a time of continued tensions between Russia and the West over Ukraine.
Tuesday – Sensex and Nifty down by 0.7%, Midcap down by 0.6%
Key benchmark indices closed lower as investors continued to book profits. Slowdown in capital inflows and MET forecast of below average rainfall continues to weigh on investors’ mind.
Wednesday - Sensex down by 0.2%, Nifty down by 0.3%, Midcap down by 1.3%
No change in sentiment visible on the street. Continues to be weighed down by global cues (read Ukraine crisis) and domestic uncertainties related to earnings season and elections.
Thursday – Markets closed on Maharashtra Day
Friday - Sensex slightly down by 0.1%, Nifty flat, Midcap up by 0.5%
Sensex and Nifty both continued their falling trend as profit booking increases and indices failed to attract fresh buying. All eyes are on outcome of general elections now.
All eyes are on results of general election to be announced on May 16. Market in short term will continue to be swayed by earnings results, inflation and other official economic stats released by govt – unless ofcourse Ukraine crisis turn into a major one. US has already put its economic (powerhouse) machine in motion – building pressure on Russia by way of sanctions. Let’s hope it does not escalate into something bigger and dangerous.
Sensex and Nifty ended this week down by 1.3% while Midcap was down by 0.8%
Monday - Sensex slightly down by 0.2%, Nifty down by 0.3%, Midcap up by 0.7%
Cautious sentiment prevailed in the market as ongoing results season till date has shown increase in topline growth but decline in operating margins. Add to the mix the uncertainty of election outcome and you get a heady cocktail of increasing volatility. Investors also remained wary ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve's two-day meet starting Tuesday, coming at a time of continued tensions between Russia and the West over Ukraine.
Tuesday – Sensex and Nifty down by 0.7%, Midcap down by 0.6%
Key benchmark indices closed lower as investors continued to book profits. Slowdown in capital inflows and MET forecast of below average rainfall continues to weigh on investors’ mind.
Wednesday - Sensex down by 0.2%, Nifty down by 0.3%, Midcap down by 1.3%
No change in sentiment visible on the street. Continues to be weighed down by global cues (read Ukraine crisis) and domestic uncertainties related to earnings season and elections.
Thursday – Markets closed on Maharashtra Day
Friday - Sensex slightly down by 0.1%, Nifty flat, Midcap up by 0.5%
Sensex and Nifty both continued their falling trend as profit booking increases and indices failed to attract fresh buying. All eyes are on outcome of general elections now.
Wednesday, April 30, 2014
War of Words
BBC did a wonderful job at gathering recent speeches of our leading politicians viz Narendra Modi, Rahul Gandhi and Arvind Kejriwal and making a word cloud to highlight the topics or issues these leaders have been shouting about in their speeches.
Don't think you'll need to pain your ears (and brains) on any other speech of theirs.
Narendra Modi
Rahul Gandhi
Arvind Kejriwal
Don't think you'll need to pain your ears (and brains) on any other speech of theirs.
Narendra Modi
Rahul Gandhi
Arvind Kejriwal
Sunday, April 27, 2014
Weekly Market Commentary - Apr 21, 2014 - Apr 25, 2014
As country made progress through election and earnings season, there is bound to be volatility in both main street and dalal street expectations and sentiments. As our elections have become more personality driven, our benchmark indices are also seeing activity specific to some stocks only. Whether the country or the markets will rise above the personality or stocks cult and will broaden its horizon will get clear only after elections are over and there is some clarity on what kind of leadership we are going to end up with.
Earnings results disappointments and MET warning have already made clear that we are not out of woods yet, and time has come for us to re-check our growth assumptions and turnaround hopes.
Sensex ended this week up by 0.3% while Nifty was flat and Midcap up by 0.7%
Monday - Sensex up by 0.6%, Nifty up by 0.6%, Midcap up by 0.8%
Benchmark indices rallied to their record highs led by surge in banking stocks ahead of their expected stronger results this week. Mining stocks also got relief from SC order to allow mining up to 20mt of iron ore per year in Goa leading to a bit of rally there. AstraZeneca India rose by more than 4% after the Sunday Times reported an expected bid of its parent company by Pfizer Inc for an estimated £60bn.
Tuesday - Sensex, Nifty and Midcap all ended flat
Sensex and Nifty rose to their record highs during the day but ended almost flat at the end of trading session as monthly derivative expiry advanced to Wednesday. Thursday is holiday for exchanges due to general elections voting in Mumbai on that day.
Wednesday - Sensex up by 0.5%, Nifty up by 0.4%, Midcap flat
Markets were in cheery mood on the day of derivative expiry as both Sensex and Nifty hit record highs for a third session in row. Indices were led by gains in infrastructure and banking stocks on hopes the worst was over in terms of deterioration in asset quality.
Thursday – Markets closed as Mumbai goes to polls for General elections
Friday - Sensex down by 0.8%, Nifty down by 0.8%, Midcap down by 0.1%
Key market indices took a beating on last day of the week as heavyweights such as ICICC Bank, Maruti Suzuki, Cairn India etc disappointed with their results. The earning shocker has sent the investors double checking their growth assumptions. MET department also worsened the sentiment after predicting lower than average rainfall this year.
Earnings results disappointments and MET warning have already made clear that we are not out of woods yet, and time has come for us to re-check our growth assumptions and turnaround hopes.
Sensex ended this week up by 0.3% while Nifty was flat and Midcap up by 0.7%
Monday - Sensex up by 0.6%, Nifty up by 0.6%, Midcap up by 0.8%
Benchmark indices rallied to their record highs led by surge in banking stocks ahead of their expected stronger results this week. Mining stocks also got relief from SC order to allow mining up to 20mt of iron ore per year in Goa leading to a bit of rally there. AstraZeneca India rose by more than 4% after the Sunday Times reported an expected bid of its parent company by Pfizer Inc for an estimated £60bn.
Tuesday - Sensex, Nifty and Midcap all ended flat
Sensex and Nifty rose to their record highs during the day but ended almost flat at the end of trading session as monthly derivative expiry advanced to Wednesday. Thursday is holiday for exchanges due to general elections voting in Mumbai on that day.
Wednesday - Sensex up by 0.5%, Nifty up by 0.4%, Midcap flat
Markets were in cheery mood on the day of derivative expiry as both Sensex and Nifty hit record highs for a third session in row. Indices were led by gains in infrastructure and banking stocks on hopes the worst was over in terms of deterioration in asset quality.
Thursday – Markets closed as Mumbai goes to polls for General elections
Friday - Sensex down by 0.8%, Nifty down by 0.8%, Midcap down by 0.1%
Key market indices took a beating on last day of the week as heavyweights such as ICICC Bank, Maruti Suzuki, Cairn India etc disappointed with their results. The earning shocker has sent the investors double checking their growth assumptions. MET department also worsened the sentiment after predicting lower than average rainfall this year.
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